Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 217.036964 244.002563 273.815635 309.362583 350.774547 397.715139 455.258702
2025-02-16 171.829537 206.380149 247.869398 301.906760 371.232462 458.295025 577.688159
2025-02-23 146.600395 183.770894 230.891543 296.031033 385.387377 506.160705 686.185501
2025-03-02 133.589212 173.459029 226.330764 303.211814 414.985010 576.260612 835.746981
2025-03-09 121.513938 162.340851 218.511170 303.694229 433.784216 632.411036 974.448169
2025-03-16 110.130817 150.631989 208.083661 298.350549 442.137767 672.782737 1094.789842
2025-03-23 102.428236 143.200076 202.718379 299.432895 459.878959 730.008634 1255.254095
2025-03-30 94.165343 134.067607 193.729985 293.477281 464.817117 765.701682 1383.247124
2025-04-06 88.030948 127.531137 187.966524 291.831998 476.444150 814.522145 1547.554090
2025-04-13 80.267437 117.826917 176.308826 278.970748 466.349359 821.009283 1624.564139
2025-04-20 77.880827 116.336019 177.624402 288.318514 497.762344 912.598561 1912.252747
2025-04-27 76.135430 115.689207 180.191615 300.035691 535.165021 1023.026482 2277.020914
2025-05-04 72.239648 111.311919 176.239811 299.735892 549.503114 1088.622211 2554.284640
2025-05-11 67.490522 105.186809 168.803086 292.172864 548.093278 1119.259151 2748.878200
2025-05-18 63.503414 100.072203 162.719294 286.537181 549.901272 1157.627201 2978.805142
2025-05-25 61.729911 98.628109 163.040082 293.434175 579.788382 1269.687474 3475.388299
2025-06-01 59.189007 95.657053 160.324219 293.897484 595.294332 1348.890658 3899.374174
2025-06-08 56.112067 91.533780 155.155694 288.765091 597.102462 1392.454850 4218.595178
2025-06-15 54.065606 89.130992 153.036043 289.804710 613.721447 1480.170081 4742.299684
2025-06-22 51.349468 85.344587 148.000094 284.083762 612.996137 1518.518945 5090.851390
2025-06-29 49.314020 82.696079 144.987799 282.503117 622.489850 1589.360925 5613.586037
2025-07-06 46.206490 77.887644 137.433027 270.144265 602.657999 1566.672630 5710.716758
2025-07-13 45.625794 77.797179 139.240033 279.127390 640.301000 1734.333765 6803.034092